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Quick Fire Dollar/Rand Update

Quick Fire Dollar / Rand Update

29 November2022

Dollar/Rand Weekly Close

 Good Morning

Herewith is the Weekly Close Dollar Rand chart.

I feel that in the ST, we may move lower toward the R16.70 – R16.62 level. 

A move of this nature would see the price target the 55-Day EMA, and with the chart being this oversold Weekly, I would definitely be looking at buying USD.

Although my road map shows a move back to the mid R18.00’s as a minimum, the deeper the current move, the less likely we will see a significant move higher unless we have a Black Swan event.

A very good friend of mine recently said, “2022 has been a year we have seen a bevy of Black Swans” in other words not so rare.

In any event, a move down to R16.70 would be a USD buy, as from these levels, we should see a relief rally of between R0.60 – R0.70, purely based on the chart being this deeply oversold.  

Good luck for the rest of the week, and remember, in these volatile markets, trade it, don’t marry it!

 “Don’t be a hero. Don’t have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability. Don’t ever feel that you are very good. The second you do, you are dead.” – Paul Tudor Jones

 

 

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Quick Fire Corn Update

Quick Fire: Corn Update
18 November 2022

Daily Corn December 2022

Good Morning

 Herewith is the Daily Dec 22 Corn chart.

 I have not changed the road map since Oct 6, 2022.

Looking at this chart, I am convinced that should we see a rally to $7.30, I would still happily go short there!

 Alternatively, if this chart starts to crack, it could be horrid, and as things one would have to say, the majority of the market is long in size.

Hence where does the price need to go to hurt the most people?

 I am not advocating selling this market naked here in size, but I am saying that I would look at shipping in some cheap puts against any longs you may have because a move lower from here looks very much like it will end up hurting the most.

 Happy Monday!

 “Don’t be a hero. Don’t have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability. Don’t ever feel that you are very good. The second you do, you are dead.” – Paul Tudor Jones